How Basketball-Reference measures the probability of players to make it to the Hall of Fame is still a mystery. They have made some questionable decisions in recent times and things are getting out of control right now. It’s come to some fans’ attention the fact that some players that haven’t won an NBA championship have better chances to make it to the Hall of Fame when their careers are over.
If you take a look at Kawhi Leonard, the Los Angeles Clippers player has a 55% of being enshrined to the HOF. Kawhi is a 2x NBA champion, 2x FMVP winner and this number seems to be a little too low for him. He has been one of the best players in the league in the last couple of years and he’s not even done; Kawhi can still win and improve this number.
Now, when we take a look at some of the players who come before the Klaw, we find some names that don’t sit well with fans. For instance, Leonard’s teammate on the Clippers, Paul George, has 65% of chances to make it to the Hall of Fame, according to Basketball-Reference. PG13 has been struggling to be competitive in the postseason ever since he left the Indiana Pacers. Last season he earned the nickname ‘Pandemic P’ for under-performing during the postseason.
We also see Kyle Lowry, who has 86% of chances to become a Hall of Famer once he’s done in the NBA. Lowry is indeed an NBA champion and one of the best leaders in the game, but he won that title with the help of Kawhi Leonard, so it looks unfair to give him this big advantage over Kawhi.
Damian Lillard also boasts 71% of chances. Lillard is one of the most exciting players in the game and one of the best point guards in the league, but he has made it to the WCF only once and was swept by the Golden State Warriors in 2019.
It is very intriguing to learn how Basketball-Reference calculates these percentages, but some of them are curious, to say the least.